I'm going optimistic...
Arrieta, Matusz and Hunter win 12-15 games each, the bullpen is solid for the most part, and our offense comes pretty close to duplicating what they did last year. We'll get "unexpected" big seasons from Chris Davis, and Nolan Reimold (or Endy Chavez, as the case may be).
Also, Andino will make the most of his opportunity with BRob still on the shelf for most or all of the season...not great numbers, but he'll be a solid guy in the lineup almost every day and play excellent defense.
JJ and Reynolds' offensive stats will be slightly down from last year, but still pretty big numbers. We'll get exactly what we generally expect from the rest of our core (Markakis, Jones, Wieters) and there will be a utility guy who shines every chance he gets (Flaherty?). Wieters will solidify his position as an elite catcher.
We win 84 games this year, finish third (ahead of Toronto and Boston), and stay in wildcard contention until late August/early September.
No jinx.