Hi Boron;
After watching the poor starts by both Capuano & Harang, I compared our starters WHIP (Walks, Hits/inning Pitched) for 2011. Here they are, along with ERA. I put Kuroda in there for WHIP reference:
WHIP/ERA
Kershaw 0.98/2.28
Lilly 1.16/3.97
Kuroda 1.21/3.07
Capuano 1.35/4.55
Harang 1.37/3.64
Billingsley 1.45/4.21
In ERA order:
Kershaw 0.98/2.28
Kuroda 1.21/3.07
Harang 1.37/3.64
Lilly 1.16/3.97
Billingsley 1.45/4.21
Capuano 1.35/4.55
By those stat orders, Bills is either our number 4 or 5 starter, and quite expensive for a 4-5 starter. Lilly is number 2 or 3, and Capuano is either number 3 or 5. Harang is number 2 or 4.
No matter how we look at it from these statistical totem poles, Bills comes in at the back end of our order.
I certainly agree that Bills is a proven mid-level starter, and it would take a very rare phenom rookie to replace him. On our roster, he's an expensive back-of-the-order starter. Perhaps this is the year that he'll finally get his head together, but we all doubt it.
Even with his emotional/focus problems on the mound, he's still a "plus" for the team, albeit inconsistent. Replacing Bills for anything better this year just can't be done!