the history of prospects ? really?
every single player in history is a prospect....and the fact is, name the catching prospects that were as highly regarded as tda and known to be able to stay behind the plate (thus excluding montero or myers, both still excellent prospects)...for the sake of argument we will use as parameters catchers who could stay at catcher that were considered top 20 prospects
we'll also exclude mesoraco, who was rated one spot higher than tda last year but would have been overtaken by tda this season had he not lost prospect status...plus hes still too young to say anything definitive about and has alot of potential
but the list would include
Buster Posey
Carlos Santana
matt wieters
J Salty
Mauer
victor martinez
so basically we are talking about 4 of the best catchers in the game over the past 10 years, then 2 guys who are considered better than average catchers...and not a single bust
so going by THAT history, you'd have to suggest that hes got about a 70% chance of being great and nearly 100% chance of being good...you know...using ACTUAL history and all