Everyone talks about how bad the outfield is, but I am cautiously optimistic. Think it might not be so bad and comparing to the 2000 outfield, could be alright. It is weaker this year, but was Payton, Agbayani and Bell really that much better than what we potentially have? More power then yes, but not dramatically better in my opinion.
Also, we could be better at first and third now, worse at second and unclear of what we have for comparison at short. Piazza is a huge difference, but the rotation could be reasonably comparable if things work out with the kids' potential. Bullpen is weaker.
Curious how others would compare the two teams and if we assume this team is worse, what moves make them comparable or even better? Probably a bat in right with some more solid D. Potentially a 1A starter if Harvey isn't superhuman and a reliable bullpen, but all in maybe only a couple pieces from equivalent talent/upside. Thoughts?
Numbers show it's not that different in terms of outfield production outside of average and obp, but those will likely improve this year given another year of experience for all 3 of our starters. Below is using 2000 numbers vs. last year for the presumed starting 3, which implies no upside development.
If I told you that Duda hit 30 home runs would you be surprised? That's nearly the entire power differential. A supposedly horrible outfield isn't that far off from 2000. (20 runs, 15 hr, 35 rbi, but a good deal of average). Again, Duda with 10 more home runs than his pace last year is a good portion of the difference alone.
Double Nieuwenheis with 628 ab’s 80 14 56 8 252 with a .315 obp
Duda 162 game average or 509 ab’s60 19 78 1 .256 with a .338 obp Baxter at almost 550 ab’s79 9 51 15 .263 with a .365 obp
Agbayani multiplied 1.5 for 525 ab’s90 21 90 8 .289 .391 obp
Payton 529 pa63 17 62 5 .291 .331 obp
Bell 546 ab’s87 18 69 8 .266 .348 obp
240 56 221 21 .280 ish .353 = 2000219 42 185 24 .255 ish .339 = now