Let's say the Met OF gets an aggregate of between 160 and 200 RBIs to go with between 45 and 60 HR's and a .270 BA.
The pitching pitches as well as last year and the bullpen improves, as it can't easily be worse.
It's not asking a lot, that's about 55 RBIs per, along with 15-20 HRs per. Along with average to better years from Wright, Davis and Murphy.
Think that makes them competative? Thoughts.
Philly and the braves have just as many IFS
You are kidding right? I mean I get the Phillies are getting older and that leads to questions. But the Braves, who already had one of the best bull pens in baseball, and strong starters, now have a very solid outfield. To say they have as many if's as the Mets is kidding yourself.
"now have a very solid outfield. "
They didn't have a Solid outfield last year? Bourn 6.0 WAR Heyward 5.5 War and Prado 5.4 WAR combined for a 16.9 WAR last year. That's 3 of the top 10 WARs at any offensive position in the league.
"I stand corrected. Still don't understand what "if's" they have."
Well they did just lose a player who was a leader in their Clubhouse for well over a decade. Justin Upton is coming off a bad season and his offensive stats outside of Arizona are mediocre. Their major strength last year was their Bullpen and we all know just how inconsistent and up and down bull pens general are.
It all comes down to the bullpen (again). Any team can survive a sub-par outfield if they have the pitching to overcome it. The San Francisco Giants (or for that matter, the 1999-2000 NY Mets) are certainly proof of that.
Hopefully, a deeper rotation and the influx of decent pitching talent throughout the system will mean better options to round out the bullpen. Also, keep your fingers crossed that Lyon, Atchison, Feliciano and Byrdak will prove to be better investments than R. Ramirez, Rauch and Francisco have been. I'm trying to keep my expectations in check, because I've been burned by the Mets' hapless relief corps in the past.
It would be hard for the bullpen to be much worse than they were in 2012, so maybe that's some cause for hope.
Last years team was competitive till the ASB. Based on first half stats:
1. The rotation is deeper but without Dickey
2. The bullpen is significantly better ( Rauch lost 7 games by June), etc.
3. The infield is better since Ike was a zero through June and Murphy was an adventure as he adjusted to second base
4. Catcher is improved. Buck calls a better game, won't lead the league in passed balls and if he and D'arnaud drive in 50 runs, it will double Thole and co.
5. The outfield will be improved. Same candidates less Bay and Torres. Addition by subtraction. Added several unproven outfielders with potential - Cowgill, Brown .
6. Management willing to add a piece if team is competing
7. This year, reinforcements are on the way - Wheeler, D'Arnaud, Mejia, Familia, Den Decker, and who knows???
Yes, things have to break right. They did last year for 80+ games. If the team had added a key piece, Santana stayed healthy, and the bullpen not undergo a nuclear meltdown, it may have ended differently. There is more depth this year.