14 wins seem a little optimistic. He pitched very well in his 10 starts in 2012, probably better than he will over a full season, and was only 3-5. The supporting cast wasn't there. Mediocre offense, bad defense, putrid bull pen. All that hurts a starting pitcher, and none of it has been fixed. If anything, it got worse. Hairston our most productive outfielder is gone. Francisco apparently won't have a bounceback year, Duda is still in the OF, and Murphy at 2b. No supporting cast, no 14 wins. Even if he pitches well, he'd have to pitch great. That's asking a lot for a first full year. Still, I am encouraged by what he showed last season.
I say 12-10 with a ERA around 3.75