I admit..I've been against getting bourn for a while. He's overrated, strikes out a ton with no power and can very well come here putting up career lows ala Jason bay . But I've been imagining him leading off for us in front of guys we know are gonna hit (Murphy, Wright, Davis..even tejada in the 2 hole could bring him home). Bourn annually gets close to 200 hits so if he puts up typical numbers he can give us huge opportunity to be (yes I'm saying it) a juggernaut. Up and down the line up we would have little to no "easy outs" . And if Duda can get on track we'd have three guys who can give us 25 or more Homers. (and let's not forget Buck can provide ample pop as well.) Bourn also helps Duda in the field a ton. So while Iwouldn't lose sleep if we pass on some mega contract for him I can finally see how some firmly believe he'd be a difference maker.
thoughts?(..other than from bbjmparis)
I was also on the fence with Bourne, but (and I'll probably be called a koolaider) I don't think this team is really that far off from contending.
I agree with John Harper who feels very strongly that Santana is going to have a very good year this year. Everything he hears regarding Santana is good, and it's his walk year. I like our rotation, even minus Dickey, and we might even see Wheeler this year.
The lineup would look pretty damm good with Bourne at the top. Look at it this way, if you want a side-by-side comparison. The Yankees are going to scratch for runs this year, most folks are in agreement that they won't be the "Bronx Bombers" this year. And going man for man, is their rotation and bullpen *really* * that* *much* better than ours? Taking into consideration the age of some of them. And alot of folks consider them to be a 90 win team this year. I don't, but alot do.
Just my opinion from where I'm sitting.
>>>"i have no problem signing bourn. Look I admit im more positive than most BUT i am also a realist. Our OF stinks so adding bourn who provides speed and defense is needed. i think Sandy is handling this perfectly. He obviously wants bourn BUT he has waited until our pick is protected and other teams have finished their offseason. Bourn will be a met IMO"<<<
Well, I don't know if Bourn will be a Met or not, but I agree with your post. Bourn would fit several needs we have - speed at the top of the order, and defense in CF. Also agree that Sandy is playing this out perfectly. If he doesn't land him, it won't be from a lack of good strategy. He's waiting to protect his pick, and for the price to drop, and not coming off as desperate. My only problem with getting Bourn is that we not pay too much in $$$ and years for him if we do sign him. Other than that he should be a use piece.
His strikeout rate is definitely high, especially for a non-power hitter. One thing to keep in mind about the 155 K's though, is that he had 624 AB's last year. So he K'd about 25% of the time in 2012, not good by any means, but his other two recent seasons he struck out in 21% and 20% of his AB's, which is still high but a little better.
By comparison, BJ Upton has K'd between 27% and 30% of his AB's over the last 4 years. I know he hits for a lot more power, but that's a lot of swings and misses.
We'll see, it may be a moot point anyway if he signs elsewhere.
Yet, teams with very little speed and a lot of power always end up scoring more runs.
SA said it himself- Power matters in the game today.
<<"My thought is that those 156 Ks won't look good in that lead off spot. Nothing makes me feel as low as seeing the first man up strike out it takes the air out of the Balloon. I know that he won't lead off every inning but still even if he is not those Ks don't move many players around the bases. "
I hear you, but what's the difference between Bourn striking out or Reyes popping out to leadoff a game. Bourn's approx a .349 OBP leadoff hitter with 40+ SBs and a gold glove caliber CFer. He'd be a huge upgrade and really help Wright, Davis, etc