He's overpriced and overrated for me. I know he has the exceptional speed and defense and plays CF, but he K's a ton, doesn't hit for much average, and isn't exactly an OBP machine. Also doesn't hit for much power. He's also 30 now.
I think he's a nice player, but not at the price you'd have to pay him right now.
People get caught up in the glitz and the glamor and forget, Michael Bourn isn't that great. He's a career .272/.339/.365 hitter. The only exceptional thing about him is his speed on the bases and in the outfield.
There's no sense giving 70+ million to a "fast guy."
"If that's the case, then just go with Den Dekker then. If you're paying for Bourn's defense, you've got a cheaper alternative in DD."
Except that he he hit .220 last year in Triple A.
But Bourn's defense is ELITE. Den Dekker is almost definitely not going to be on that level. Bourn's UZR ranked 2nd in ALL of major league baseball last season.
And then there's also the elite speed which becomes even more valuable with the not great but above average OBP.
Yeah but it's speed which at age 30 he's starting to lose. It's not a good idea to give a five year contract to a 30 year old whose entire value is based on speed alone.
actually den dekkers defense IS on that level
den dekker is an elite defensive center fielder w/ power
the problem is that he may never be able to make enough contact to justify being on the field every day despite the fact that he would instantly become a top 5 defensive cf'er
a few clips:
there is no doubt that this kid would be an elite defensive cf'er...but can his bat play?
of all of the OF in our system that will open at A+ or above, den dekker undoubtedly has the most potential to be a starter
Give Den Dekker another year and you might have a better player. The defense is already there, all he needs is a little better AVG and OBP. He does have speed and great defense already and way more power than Bourn.
Anyway, in 2014, Gomez is also a FA. Even more speed and would cost a lot less. Ellsbury is also a FA so it would be much better for the Mets to give another year to Capt. Kirk and DD and if that doesn't work out, go after a different CF from the FA list.