A lot of people have been writing off the 2013 Mets and saying that they will win as few as 66 games. If you look at WAR the Mets will probably win about 74-76 games and maybe even 80 if they get lucky.
Buck/D'Arnaud 1.5 WARDavis 2 WARMurphy 1.5 WARTejada 2 WARWright 5 WARDuda 0.5 WARNieuwenhuis/Cowgill 1 WARBaxter/Brown 1 WAR
Santana 2 WARNiese 3 WARHarvey 2 WARGee 1 WARFifth starter 0.5 WAR
That totals to 23, plus 52 equals 75 wins.
My heart says 94. That's the koolaider in me. I will root hard for them every single inning of the season.
But in reality, this team has been on a downward spiral. We've gone from 79 wins to 77 to 74 the past 3 seasons.
And while the organazation MAY have improved talent wise this off season, the Major League team does not appear to have improved much, if at all.
All that said, I'll go with the same 74 wins as last year. But I'll never give up hope that I'm low-balling them by 20. :)
i am basing my 75 wins on the idea that the rotation will actually be a strength
im not really relying on getting anything from johan but i do think that niese, harvey, wheeler and gee will be the makings of a pretty good rotation....
Because they didn't sign Hairston.
90-72 if all things go right.
< 90 if they don't.