Maybe nobody cares but am I the only big tennis fan here?
The Djoker loves the Aussie open because the surface is a bit slower than the U.S. However I think Murray is the best player in the world right now and would pick him to win. Hopefully Raonic challenges for a QF spot but he is not at an elite level nor the second tier level of Ferrer, Del Potro, Tsonga...
I'd pick Murray. Like you said, he is probably the best player in the world right now after winning the Olympics and the U.S. Open - momentum is clearly on his side now.
As an underdog, I'm picking Richard Gasquet who has become my favourite player now since Roddick retired. He's really underrated, and I think he's starting to come in his own as a player. He's ranked 10th in the World right now, and will be the 9th seed likely heading into the Australian Open since Nadal withdrew. I don't think Gasquet will touch the top 4 since they are untouchable right now, though I could see him moving up in the rankings this year and sitting around the 5-7 spots. He'll likely reach the quarters, though he'll have a tough task against Murray or Djokovic. He's beat Federer before a couple of times, when he was younger and before he got injured.
I was shocked to see how big of a favourite Serena is (these are random odds I found neither of my sites have main event odds up). At these prices I'd take a chance on Ivanovic or Stosur.
WOMEN ODDSSerena Williams 4-5Victoria Azarenka 7-2Maria Sharapova 8-1Petra Kvitova 16-1Li Na 20-1Angelique Kerber 25-1Agnieszka Radwanska 25-1Sam Stosur 35-1Caroline Wozniacki 45-1Venus Williams 50-1Ana Ivanovic 65-1Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 65-1Sloane Stephens 65-1Marion Bartoli 80-1Sabine Lisicki 80-1Mona Barthel 100-1Sara Errani 100-1Kaia Kanepi 100-1Laura Robson 100-1Field (All Others) 12-1
Haha so the fact that the Williams sisters revolutionized women's tennis, becoming fitter and stronger (actually Navratilova was first) allowing them to hit more powerfully you now hate it?! Yes they are able to gain more free points off of serves means the strategy and execution is gone?
You can insert a comment like that into every sport in the world as players become stronger and faster.
"I was actually looking at Gasquet before you mentioned him since he's 250:1 which I find shocking. For comparison my site has Raonic at 80:1 and Berdych at 65:1. Sweet 1 handed backhand and coming off a tournament win too. Gonna put maybe $5 on him. Thanks!"
Those are crazy odds, I'm shocked. Heck I'll put $10 on him as an underdog. He has one of the smoothest one-handed backhands in tennis. I love Gasquet, I think this year he breaks out for good!
Gasquet has no shot. He has extreme conditioning issues and the hot australian weather wont help this. Theres a reason why he almost always comes up short later in tournaments and its certainly not because of skill (stamina and mental shortcomings).
Putting money on anyone outside the top 4 or then Ferrer, Tsonga, Delpo and Berdych is basically dead money.
Novak imo is the best bet on the board even if its just at even money. Last season he was worn down and had his grandfather pass away suddenly and it totally rattled him. He looked in great form when I saw him a week or so ago and when hes healthy and focused hes the best player in the game nowadays. Fed hasnt played one leadup event and I still dont trust Murray to mentally keep it together slam in slam out.
For me Ill be betting large on Djokovic and sprinkling a little on Ferrer at 34:1