The actual standings as far as they affect us:
A.L. East........ W-L PCT GBNew York..... 66-46 .589 ...Baltimore..... 61-52 .540 5 1/2Tampa Bay... 60-52 .536 6
Wild Card....... W-L PCT GBBaltimore...... 61-52 .540 ...Detroit........... 61-52 .540 ...Oakland......... 60-52 .536 1/2Tampa Bay.... 60-52 .536 1/2L.A. Angels.... 60-53 .531 1
According to the "Pythagorean W-L" formula, the MFYs "should be" 66-46, the Rays "should be" 60-52, the Tigers "should be" 60-53, the A's "should be" 60-52, and the Angels "should be" 62-51.
The Orioles, who've been out-scored 520-473, "should be" 52-61, however. :)
The MFYs (67-46) have already beaten the Jays in Toronto. The Blue Jays are 53-60. They've lost five games in a row and eight of their last ten. The Orioles are now eight games ahead of the Jays (and 5 1/2 ahead of Boston).
After the Royals leave town the Red Sox will be in Baltimore on the 14th, 15th and 16th. The Jays will play at Camden Yards on the weekend of August 24-26.
An easy road trip to Detroit and Arlington Texas will fall between those two series. lol
What do we care though? We'll probably be facing the Tigers and/or Rangers in the playoffs anyway.
"CC Sabathia, the ace of the New York Yankees pitching staff, is headed to the disabled list with stiffness in his pitching elbow.
Yankees manager Joe Girardi announced the move Saturday after the Yankees beat the Toronto Blue Jays 5-2." - ESPN
He's not as valuable to them as Robinson Cano is, IMO, but he is the MFYs most dominating starter. Kuroda (10-8, 3.24), Hughes (11-9, 4.10), Nova (11-6, 4.70) and Freddy Garcia (6-5, 4.85) is all right-handed. Maybe David Phelps (2-3, 2.42) will join them but he's a righty also.
They'll probably be forced to trade for somebody.
They signed Derek Lowe to take Sabathia's place in the rotation.
Before the Indians released him yesterday, Lowe had started 21 games for them and pitched 119 innings giving up 156 hits, walking 45 and striking out 41. He had an 8-10 record with Cleveland after a fast start (4-1; 2.25 ERA in March and April). For the year, Lowe's ERA is 5.52 and his WHIP is 1.689.
I'm just glad the Orioles didn't bite on him. He's no CC Sabathia, obviously.
"They signed Derek Lowe to take Sabathia's place in the rotation."
So, I guess that means that Lowe will face Dempster and the Rangers on Monday? Should be an interesting slugfest, final score 11-9 Rangers I predict. lol
By most reliable standards Lowe has been the worst starter in MLB this season. Matusz, Arrieta and Britton have been shellacked but Lowe is neither young nor injured. He's just a bad pitcher.
I hope they send him to the mound every fifth day.
"Does this improve their rotation?"
About as much as Blanton would have improve ours.
The Orioles have scored 515 runs and given up 560 in their first 123 games. Their record is 67-56. According to the Pythagorean W-L formula, they should be ten games worse: 57-66.
Right now the AL East Standings read:New York...... 72-51Tampa Bay.... 68-55Baltimore...... 67-56Boston.......... 59-64Toronto......... 56-66
Based on the "runs for/runs against" formula, we should be looking at:New York...... 71-52Tampa Bay.... 69-54Boston.......... 65-58Toronto......... 58-64Baltimore...... 57-66
The Orioles are "overachieving" by ten games and the Red Sox are "underachieving" by 6 games.
Baltimore's success has been in its ability to win close games. We owe most thanks to the bullpen, of course.
fangraphs article. Value of Pythag on predicting last month?......no so much.
"Of course, this raises the question of whether we really gain anything from a predictive standpoint heading into September if we focus on a team’s expected winning percentage rather than their actual performance." Bill Petti Aug 22, 2012.
I'm shocked. Shocked I tell ya.
"spot start Britton, Hunter and a few others instead of keeping them in the rotation".
Sooooo, without disrupting one of the best performing bullpens in the league and without interrupting player development on the farm? Name the "others" then list your permanent starters and show me how your "spot starter" concept deploys.
I am soooo interested to see the plan.