> They are already starting to show their cards by performing at the same level of consistency.
Ackley, first full season.
Montero, first full season.
Wells, not even playing full time.
Seager, first full season.
Carp, hurt.
Noesi, first season being a MLB starter.
Erasmo Ramirez, first taste of the big leagues.
Smoak hasn't even gotten that many at bats in the majors.
Look at our own Michael Saunders. Guy DESTROYED AAA as a 22 year old. Didn't find any consistency or production at all really until he was 24 years old after multiple cups of coffee.
Heck, you can even look at other top young talent. Heyward had a really big down year last year. Justin Upton took a long time to get to where he is too. And these are SUPERSTAR young players, not just "core" players.
Only SUPER STARS of the highest caliber hit the big leagues in their early 20's and dominate. And even then they still get better with time. Felix took a good 4 years to become a consistent ace.
> We need to clear our minds that this is all part of development and all these guys are just making normal process.
This is exactly the normal process of player development. If you're looking for players who hit a high level of production in the early part of their 20's you're going to find a short list. I highly recommend not judging players based on even an entire season of data. Even old veterans have pretty big swings year to year. Young players getting their first taste of the bigs? You can bet you are going to see changes.
> When do you see this team realistically contending based on where we are at now?
Contending? Could be next year, could be 3 years from now. That is the thing about developing talent yourself. It can happen fast or take time. Ackley might become an all star next year, but if Smoak doesn't become useful for another year or two, etc, etc. Too much variation to know really.